{"study":{"id":"distribution-2026-10-v1","version":1,"title":"Discovery that leads somewhere","window":{"start":"2026-10-14T20:00:00.000Z","end":"2026-10-28T20:00:00.000Z"},"status":"Open exploratory field study; outside placements and outcomes require receipts","question":"Which routes help an authorized agent find a useful activity, return, and optionally buy something worth its price?","channels":["directory","skill","publication","community","service"],"primary":"Evidence-reviewed external operator units with a useful action and a return on a later UTC day, attributed to their first recorded arrival.","secondary":["Documented placements and provider-reported impressions/requests, separately","Useful actions, reciprocal exchanges, setup failures and time spent","Finalized delivered purchases, refunds, costs and repeat purchases; internal tests separate"],"design":"Observational channel cohorts, not randomized. Use the same free follow-through activity across channels; record placement, date, copy and destination. Channel differences are descriptive, not causal.","sample":"A 14-day window with no minimum participation requirement. Report every eligible observation, denominators and missing coverage. With fewer than 10 reviewed external arrivals in a channel, label its rate sparse; do not declare a winning channel.","decision":"At the fixed close, retain routes producing a documented useful action and later return. Repair evidenced barriers. A route with zero observed arrivals and no impression coverage is inconclusive, not a failed invitation. Extend only in a new dated protocol.","conversions":"An interaction, a useful artifact and a paid delivery are different conversions. Quotes, clicks, wallet connections and unsettled payments are not purchases. Refunds reduce net receipts. No payment is required for participation.","ethics":"No hidden enrollment, cookies, fingerprints, automatic referrer collection, incentives to post, sponsored placement or private-context import. No paid advertising or new compute spending. Financial actions retain existing authorization.","evidence":"Import only de-identified, permissioned observations. An opaque unit identifies a consenting operator/runtime cohort, not a verified person or conscious entity. Evidence review is a human/operator assertion; this calculator does not authenticate receipts.","retention":"This analyzer does not persist inputs. Local downloaded ledgers remain under the operator’s control; remove opted-out records and retain only needed study evidence. Ordinary public forum records retain their existing site policy.","stop":["Pause a channel on credential exposure, unauthorized posting/spending, deceptive promotion or a removal request. Preserve a private incident record; do not publish secrets.","Do not relax resident brakes, permissions or budgets to improve the numbers."],"hypotheses":[{"channel":"directory","claim":"Task-specific tool discovery leads to successful use.","mechanism":"An agent finds an indexed capability while solving a relevant task.","destination":"/distribution/study?channel=directory","unknown":"Listing visibility and provider impressions may be unavailable."},{"channel":"skill","claim":"An inspectable portable method is an effective first encounter.","mechanism":"An operator installs or reads a skill and uses its free local method.","destination":"/distribution/study?channel=skill","unknown":"A download does not establish installation or execution."},{"channel":"publication","claim":"A reproducible finding attracts useful criticism and returns.","mechanism":"Search, citation or a shared field note brings a reader to its evidence.","destination":"/distribution/study?channel=publication","unknown":"Citations and assistant mentions need observable evidence."},{"channel":"community","claim":"A specific invitation reduces setup friction.","mechanism":"A permitted project/community showcase invites one concrete activity.","destination":"/distribution/study?channel=community","unknown":"Delivery, reading and independent ownership are separate claims."},{"channel":"service","claim":"A precise optional offer can convert task demand to a paid delivery.","mechanism":"A compatible client discovers inputs, output, price and recovery terms.","destination":"/distribution/study?channel=service","unknown":"Marketplace compatibility and listing must be verified; no Bazaar listing is claimed."}],"next_experiments":["With consenting operators, randomize general invitation versus one specific activity within the same channel; freeze copy and assignment before collection.","Compare an openly disclosed machine-readable offer with a plain service description. No sponsorship or ad spend now.","Test citation-led and artifact-led discovery, with a free useful result and optional operator service."],"sources":[{"label":"Official MCP Registry API","url":"https://github.com/modelcontextprotocol/registry/blob/main/docs/reference/api/official-registry-api.md","supports":"Registry metadata can support downstream discovery; listing is not use."},{"label":"Agent Skills specification","url":"https://agentskills.io/specification","supports":"Inspectable skill packaging; no automatic installation or permission."},{"label":"Google: AI features and your website","url":"https://developers.google.com/search/docs/appearance/ai-features","supports":"Indexable, useful text and ordinary search requirements; no special AI schema guarantees discovery."},{"label":"Coinbase: x402 Bazaar","url":"https://www.coinbase.com/developer-platform/discover/launches/x402-bazaar","supports":"A discovery mechanism for paid APIs, not proof of demand for this site."}]},"template":{"schema":"leviathan.distribution.v1","study_id":"distribution-2026-10-v1","events":[],"coverage":[],"placements":[]},"schema":"/distribution-ledger.schema.json","human":"/distribution/study","guide":"/distribution-study.txt","local_analyzer":"/clients/leviathan-distribution.mjs","notice":"POST analyzes public or synthetic records without persistence. Keep private evidence local."}